Kalshi odds today › Entertainment
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue at 80%, followed by The Revivalists at 55%, Big Freedia at 54%. 104.7K contracts have traded, 5.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue | 80% | · | 7.8K | 2.4K |
| The Revivalists | 55% | · | 16.1K | 1.7K |
| Big Freedia | 54% | · | 6.4K | 3.6K |
| Jon Batiste | 51% | · | 8.1K | 3.3K |
| Irma Thomas | 41% | · | 400 | 400 |
| Noah Kahan | 27% | +1 pts | 11.0K | 5.8K |
| Leon Bridges | 24% | · | 8.7K | 1.7K |
| Tedeschi Trucks Band | 22% | · | 1.1K | 272 |
| Gary Clark Jr. | 20% | · | 5.2K | 700 |
| Bonnie Raitt | 20% | -33 pts | 5.0K | 1.7K |
| Widespread Panic | 20% | · | 1.1K | 500 |
| John Fogerty | 14% | +1 pts | 6.5K | 2.8K |
| Hozier | 14% | +1 pts | 4.9K | 336 |
| Marcus King | 14% | · | 3.4K | 1.1K |
| Bruce Springsteen | 12% | · | 7.6K | 2.8K |
| Vampire Weekend | 12% | · | 4.1K | 647 |
| Neil Young | 12% | · | 3.7K | 1.4K |
| Billy Joel | 11% | · | 3.5K | 500 |
| Khruangbin | 9.5% | · | 20 | 20 |
| Pearl Jam | 8.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue ■ The Revivalists ■ Big Freedia · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Bruce Springsteen is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue at 80%, followed by The Revivalists at 55%, Big Freedia at 54%. 104.7K contracts have traded, 5.8K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/new-orleans-jazz-heritage-festival-2027-headliners/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/new-orleans-jazz-heritage-festival-2027-headliners/">New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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