Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 87.5 TWh at 96%, followed by Above 90.0 TWh at 96%, Above 92.5 TWh at 94%. 211.1K contracts have traded, 34.4K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 87.5 TWh ■ Above 92.5 TWh · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 87.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours (TWh). EIA reports the underlying generation data in megawatthours (MWh); 1 TWh = 1,000,000 MWh. Generation from nuclear facilities located in Illinois is included. Resolution is based on the first EIA publication containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 87.5 TWh at 96%, followed by Above 90.0 TWh at 96%, Above 92.5 TWh at 94%. 211.1K contracts have traded, 34.4K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is February 28, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/illinois-nuclear-electricity-generation-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsillinoisnuclearelectricitygenerationin2026, title = {Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/illinois-nuclear-electricity-generation-in-2026/}}
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