How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXLAGODAYS-26OCT
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is 1 at 35%, followed by 2 at 26%, 0 at 22%. 37.3K contracts have traded, 28.9K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ 1 ■ 2 ■ 0 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included - i.e. if Oct 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Oct 2026, that will count as a visit.”
What are the Kalshi odds for How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is 1 at 35%, followed by 2 at 26%, 0 at 22%. 37.3K contracts have traded, 28.9K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026 market close?
The listed close date is November 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-times-will-trump-visit-mar-a-lago-in-oct-2026/">How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 1). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-times-will-trump-visit-mar-a-lago-in-oct-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowmanytimeswilltrumpvisitmaralagoinoct2026, title = {How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-01 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-times-will-trump-visit-mar-a-lago-in-oct-2026/}}
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