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How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4): Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPPHOTO-26OCT04
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is 6 at 52%, followed by 7 at 39%, 5 at 5.5%. 50.3K contracts have traded, 4.6K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| 6 | 52% | +6 pts | 2.3K | 1.4K |
| 7 | 39% | -7 pts | 2.2K | 2.0K |
| 5 | 5.5% | +2 pts | 6.0K | 2.7K |
| 0 | 1.0% | · | 10.3K | 8.8K |
| 1 | 1.0% | · | 8.1K | 7.6K |
| 4 | 1.0% | · | 7.9K | 5.7K |
| 3 | 1.0% | · | 6.8K | 3.5K |
| 2 | 1.0% | · | 6.8K | 3.6K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the number of distinct days Donald Trump is photographed in a tagged editorial photo on Getty Images between Sep 28, 2026 and Oct 4, 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved If a tagged photo does not actually depict Donald Trump, or is materially mis-tagged (for example, with the wrong date), Kalshi reserves the right to disregard that photo when resolving the market. Conversely, if a photo is correctly tagged as depicting Donald Trump but its metadata date does not reflect the actual date the photo was taken (in local time), Kalshi reserves the right to include that photo based on the actual date. Past examples with no qualifying photos: April 4, 2026”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
Related Politics markets
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4)?
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is 6 at 52%, followed by 7 at 39%, 5 at 5.5%. 50.3K contracts have traded, 4.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4) market close?
The listed close date is October 5, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4): Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-days-will-trump-be-photographed-this-week-9-28-10-4/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowmanydayswilltrumpbephotographedthisweek928104, title = {How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-days-will-trump-be-photographed-this-week-9-28-10-4/}}HTML credit
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