How low will US gas prices get in September? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXAAAGASMINM-26SEP30
As of September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Below $4.00 at 1.5%, followed by Below $3.95 at 1.5%, Below $3.85 at 1.0%. 53.6K contracts have traded, 16.6K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Below $4.00 ■ Below $3.95 ■ Below $3.85 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is lower than $4.00 at any time from Issuance through Sep 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for How low will US gas prices get in September?
As of September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Below $4.00 at 1.5%, followed by Below $3.95 at 1.5%, Below $3.85 at 1.0%. 53.6K contracts have traded, 16.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the How low will US gas prices get in September market close?
The listed close date is October 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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How low will US gas prices get in September? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-us-gas-prices-get-in-september/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowlowwillusgaspricesgetinseptember, title = {How low will US gas prices get in September? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-us-gas-prices-get-in-september/}}
