Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 1.0% (1¢ per contract), with 918.8K contracts traded in total and 23.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.0% | · | 918.8K | 442.4K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable. Examples that would resolve the market to Yes: OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency" Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes: A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 1.0% (1¢ per contract), with 918.8K contracts traded in total and 23.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/government-shutdown-on-oct-1-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/government-shutdown-on-oct-1-2026/">Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/government-shutdown-on-oct-1-2026.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/government-shutdown-on-oct-1-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsgovernmentshutdownonoct12026, title = {Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/government-shutdown-on-oct-1-2026/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/government-shutdown-on-oct-1-2026/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.