Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXFED-26OCT
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 3.25% at 100%, followed by Above 3.00% at 100%, Above 2.75% at 100%. 220.9K contracts have traded, 65.9K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 3.25% ■ Above 3.00% ■ Above 2.75% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Oct 28, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 3.25% at 100%, followed by Above 3.00% at 100%, Above 2.75% at 100%. 220.9K contracts have traded, 65.9K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting market close?
The listed close date is October 28, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-funds-rate-after-oct-2026-meeting/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsfedfundsrateafteroct2026meeting, title = {Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-funds-rate-after-oct-2026-meeting/}}
