Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 17:59 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXDIESELMON-26SEP30
As of September 25, 2026 at 17:59 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $6.00 at 100%, followed by Above $5.90 at 100%, Above $5.70 at 100%. 225.1K contracts have traded, 17.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $6.00 | 100% | · | 7.1K | 2.5K |
| Above $5.90 | 100% | · | 5.0K | 1.2K |
| Above $5.70 | 100% | · | 3.8K | 1.1K |
| Above $5.80 | 100% | · | 3.0K | 460 |
| Above $5.40 | 100% | · | 2.9K | 2.0K |
| Above $5.30 | 100% | · | 2.5K | 954 |
| Above $5.20 | 100% | · | 2.2K | 867 |
| Above $4.70 | 100% | · | 2.1K | 1.4K |
| Above $5.10 | 100% | · | 2.1K | 1.5K |
| Above $4.60 | 100% | · | 1.8K | 1.5K |
| Above $5.50 | 100% | · | 1.8K | 526 |
| Above $4.90 | 100% | · | 970 | 706 |
| Above $5.60 | 100% | · | 834 | 558 |
| Above $4.80 | 100% | · | 796 | 789 |
| Above $5.00 | 100% | · | 736 | 728 |
| Above $6.10 | 99% | +7 pts | 8.7K | 3.6K |
| Above $6.20 | 92% | -1 pts | 10.2K | 3.0K |
| Above $6.30 | 73% | -15 pts | 15.5K | 5.7K |
| Above $6.35 | 57% | -17 pts | 797 | 753 |
| Above $7.00 | 37% | +35 pts | 11.5K | 8.5K |
15 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above $6.00 ■ Above $5.90 ■ Above $5.70 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Diesel Price on September 30, 2026 is above $4.60, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 25, 2026 at 17:59 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $6.00 at 100%, followed by Above $5.90 at 100%, Above $5.70 at 100%. 225.1K contracts have traded, 17.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is September 30, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/diesel-prices-in-sep-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Diesel prices in Sep 2026 Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-prices-in-sep-2026/">Diesel prices in Sep 2026 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/diesel-prices-in-sep-2026.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Diesel prices in Sep 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 17:59 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-prices-in-sep-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsdieselpricesinsep2026, title = {Diesel prices in Sep 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 17:59 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-prices-in-sep-2026/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-prices-in-sep-2026/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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