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American Express cards-in-force in Q3: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 30, 2026 at 15:25 UTC · Category: Financials · Event KXAXP-26OCTCARDS

As of September 30, 2026 at 15:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 154.5 million at 96%, followed by Above 155 million at 88%, Above 155.5 million at 57%. 119.9K contracts have traded, 19.3K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Above 154.5 million96%
-1 pts8.9K555
Above 155 million88%
·5.2K995
Above 155.5 million57%
-3 pts14.2K5.1K
Above 156 million24%
+2 pts14.8K3.2K
Above 156.5 million9.5%
-11 pts15.9K4.0K
Above 157 million5.5%
+2 pts13.8K3.1K
Above 157.5 million3.5%
·10.5K2.8K
Above 158 million2.5%
+1 pts4.5K1.2K
Above 158.5 million1.5%
-1 pts19.8K7.2K
Above 159 million1.5%
·12.3K664

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 30

■ Above 154.5 million ■ Above 155 million ■ Above 155.5 million · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If American Express Company reports Above 154500000.0 cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for American Express cards-in-force in Q3?

As of September 30, 2026 at 15:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 154.5 million at 96%, followed by Above 155 million at 88%, Above 155.5 million at 57%. 119.9K contracts have traded, 19.3K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the American Express cards-in-force in Q3 market close?

The listed close date is February 13, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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American Express cards-in-force in Q3: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 30). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 30, 2026 at 15:25 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/american-express-cards-in-force-in-q3/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsamericanexpresscardsinforceinq3, title = {American Express cards-in-force in Q3: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-30 15:25 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/american-express-cards-in-force-in-q3/}}

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