Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXRAV4MSRP-TOY-RAV4-2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $31,000 at 97%, followed by Above $31,500 at 96%, Above $32,000 at 94%. 29.8K contracts have traded, 19.8K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above $31,000 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $31,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Starting MSRP means the manufacturer-published price for the model’s lowest-priced U.S. retail configuration, explicitly identified as "Starting MSRP" on its official U.S. model page, pricing announcement, or price sheet. Pricing for higher trims alone does not qualify. Prices are in USD, excluding destination/delivery charges, duties, taxes, registration, dealer fees, and optional equipment, and without applying rebates, incentives, tax credits, or discounts. The event will close and resolve upon qualifying publication, without waiting until the announcement cutoff. Later price changes, corrections, and revisions are ignored. Estimates, …”
What are the Kalshi odds for 2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP?
As of September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $31,000 at 97%, followed by Above $31,500 at 96%, Above $32,000 at 94%. 29.8K contracts have traded, 19.8K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the 2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2027-toyota-rav4-starting-msrp/">2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2027-toyota-rav4-starting-msrp/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026markets2027toyotarav4startingmsrp, title = {2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/2027-toyota-rav4-starting-msrp/}}
