Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXNOBELPEACE-26
As of September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) at 12%, followed by Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) at 12%, Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine at 9.0%. 1.2M contracts have traded, 17.8K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) ■ Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) ■ Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.”
What are the Kalshi odds for 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner?
As of September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) at 12%, followed by Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) at 12%, Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine at 9.0%. 1.2M contracts have traded, 17.8K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner market close?
The listed close dates range from December 31, 2026 to January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2026-nobel-peace-prize-winner/">2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2026-nobel-peace-prize-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026markets2026nobelpeaceprizewinner, title = {2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/2026-nobel-peace-prize-winner/}}
