Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Crypto · Event KXBTC2026250-27JAN01
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 1.5% (2¢ per contract), with 1.3M contracts traded in total and 19.2K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $250000 starting 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027?
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 1.5% (2¢ per contract), with 1.3M contracts traded in total and 19.2K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027 market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-bitcoin-be-above-250k-by-2027/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillbitcoinbeabove250kby2027, title = {Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-bitcoin-be-above-250k-by-2027/}}
