Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Crypto · Event KXBTCMINY-27JAN01
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Below $55,000.00 at 14%, followed by Below $50,000.00 at 11%, Below $45,000.00 at 7.5%. 5.4M contracts have traded, 33.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below $55,000.00 | 14% | · | 1.6M | 533.1K |
| Below $50,000.00 | 11% | +1 pts | 1.5M | 617.5K |
| Below $45,000.00 | 7.5% | +1 pts | 930.6K | 373.0K |
| Below $40,000.00 | 7.0% | +1 pts | 1.3M | 533.3K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Below $55,000.00 ■ Below $50,000.00 ■ Below $45,000.00 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $55000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Below $55,000.00 at 14%, followed by Below $50,000.00 at 11%, Below $45,000.00 at 7.5%. 5.4M contracts have traded, 33.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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How low will Bitcoin get in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-bitcoin-get-in-2026/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowlowwillbitcoingetin2026, title = {How low will Bitcoin get in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-bitcoin-get-in-2026/}}HTML credit
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