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US gas prices this week: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXAAAGASW-26OCT12
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 4.2000 at 100%, followed by Above 4.1600 at 100%, Above 4.1800 at 100%. 63.3K contracts have traded, 63.3K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Above 4.2000 | 100% | · | 4.6K | 4.3K |
| Above 4.1600 | 100% | · | 3.1K | 3.1K |
| Above 4.1800 | 100% | · | 3.0K | 3.0K |
| Above 4.2200 | 98% | · | 3.4K | 2.1K |
| Above 4.2400 | 96% | · | 2.0K | 422 |
| Above 4.2800 | 87% | · | 6.2K | 2.7K |
| Above 4.2600 | 86% | · | 3.3K | 1.4K |
| Above 4.3000 | 86% | · | 2.1K | 1.3K |
| Above 4.3200 | 68% | · | 7.3K | 3.5K |
| Above 4.3400 | 62% | · | 4.0K | 1.8K |
| Above 4.3600 | 60% | · | 4.3K | 2.8K |
| Above 4.3800 | 50% | · | 2.0K | 1.2K |
| Above 4.4000 | 40% | · | 2.9K | 2.2K |
| Above 4.4200 | 12% | · | 2.5K | 1.5K |
| Above 4.4400 | 7.5% | · | 1.2K | 787 |
| Above 4.4600 | 4.5% | · | 755 | 564 |
| Above 4.4800 | 2.5% | · | 1.1K | 851 |
| Above 4.5000 | 1.0% | · | 2.7K | 2.1K |
| Above 4.5200 | 1.0% | · | 2.7K | 2.6K |
| Above 4.5400 | 1.0% | · | 2.1K | 2.1K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.1600 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for US gas prices this week?
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 4.2000 at 100%, followed by Above 4.1600 at 100%, Above 4.1800 at 100%. 63.3K contracts have traded, 63.3K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the US gas prices this week market close?
The listed close date is October 12, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
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APA
US gas prices this week: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/us-gas-prices-this-week-kxaaagasw-26oct12/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsusgaspricesthisweekkxaaagasw26oct12, title = {US gas prices this week: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/us-gas-prices-this-week-kxaaagasw-26oct12/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/us-gas-prices-this-week-kxaaagasw-26oct12/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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