HomeMarketsLive oddsGamesBlogToolsAPI

Kalshi odds today › Politics

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27): Kalshi Odds

Settled or closed · Category: Politics · Event KXHORMUZPEAK-26SEP27

This event has no open markets at the last update (October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC).

Result

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Politics markets

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?

This event has no open markets at the last update (October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC).

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) market close?

The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

Use this data

Embed these odds

Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.

<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27/">Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>

Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown): Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) Kalshi odds badge

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27/badge.svg" alt="Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[![Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) Kalshi odds](https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27/badge.svg)](https://kalshiview.com/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27/)

Free JSON

/api/v1/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).

Cite this page

APA

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27): Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketspeaktrafficthroughthestraitofhormuz921927, title = {Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27/}}

HTML credit

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-9-21-9-27/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.

Follow on Telegram

Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.