Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Financials · Event KXDISNEYAPP-26OCT08
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 83 at 100%, followed by Above 87 at 95%, Above 91 at 57%. 51.1K contracts have traded, 9.2K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 83 ■ Above 87 ■ Above 91 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 83 , then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Disney+ App Downloads in September?
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 83 at 100%, followed by Above 87 at 95%, Above 91 at 57%. 51.1K contracts have traded, 9.2K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Disney+ App Downloads in September market close?
The listed close date is October 8, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/disney-app-downloads-in-september/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Disney+ App Downloads in September Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/disney-app-downloads-in-september/">Disney+ App Downloads in September odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown):
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/disney-app-downloads-in-september/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/disney-app-downloads-in-september/badge.svg" alt="Disney+ App Downloads in September Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/disney-app-downloads-in-september/)
Disney+ App Downloads in September: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/disney-app-downloads-in-september/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsdisneyappdownloadsinseptember, title = {Disney+ App Downloads in September: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/disney-app-downloads-in-september/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
