American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Financials · Event KXAAL-26OCTPLF
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 83.5% at 94%, followed by Above 84% at 78%, Above 84.5% at 62%. 70.1K contracts have traded, 21.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 83.5% ■ Above 84% ■ Above 84.5% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If American Airlines Group Inc. reports Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
What are the Kalshi odds for American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3?
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 83.5% at 94%, followed by Above 84% at 78%, Above 84.5% at 62%. 70.1K contracts have traded, 21.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3 market close?
The listed close date is February 19, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/american-airlines-passenger-load-factor-in-q3/">American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/american-airlines-passenger-load-factor-in-q3/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsamericanairlinespassengerloadfactorinq3, title = {American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/american-airlines-passenger-load-factor-in-q3/}}
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