Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 01:49 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXCANALBERTAREMAIN-26OCT19
As of September 25, 2026 at 01:49 UTC, the leading outcome is At least 60% at 92%, followed by At least 65% at 82%, At least 70% at 74%. 21.4K contracts have traded, 18.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 92% | +6 pts | 3.4K | 2.3K |
| At least 65% | 82% | · | 4.1K | 722 |
| At least 70% | 74% | · | 5.6K | 1.7K |
| At least 75% | 48% | · | 5.2K | 1.6K |
| At least 80% | 20% | · | 0 | 0 |
| At least 85% | 11% | · | 3.1K | 1.0K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 60% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the percentage of valid votes cast for Option 1 (Alberta should remain a province of Canada) on Question 10 of Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum, as reported in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results. Preliminary results do not qualify. Valid votes are votes for either Question 10 option; blank and rejected ballots are excluded. Rounding follows Elections Alberta’s reported convention. If no qualifying results are released by expiration, the market resolves to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 25, 2026 at 01:49 UTC, the leading outcome is At least 60% at 92%, followed by At least 65% at 82%, At least 70% at 74%. 21.4K contracts have traded, 18.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 19, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share/">Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 01:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsalbertareferendumremainvoteshare, title = {Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 01:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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