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Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? Kalshi Odds
Settled or closed · Category: Elections · Event KXCANALBERTAREMAIN-26OCT19
This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists At least 60%, At least 65%, At least 70% as settled Yes.
Result
- At least 60%: settled Yes
- At least 65%: settled Yes
- At least 70%: settled Yes
- At least 75%: settled No
- At least 77%: settled No
- At least 80%: settled No
- At least 85%: settled No
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 60% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the percentage of valid votes cast for Option 1 (Alberta should remain a province of Canada) on Question 10 of Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum, as reported in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results. Preliminary results do not qualify. Valid votes are votes for either Question 10 option; blank and rejected ballots are excluded. Rounding follows Elections Alberta’s reported convention. If no qualifying results are released by expiration, the market resolves to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.”
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?
This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists At least 60%, At least 65%, At least 70% as settled Yes.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Alberta referendum: Remain vote share market close?
The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsalbertareferendumremainvoteshare, title = {Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share/}}HTML credit
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