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Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXDEBUTSONG-26OCT10-PAT

As of September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 96% (96¢ per contract), with 37.7K contracts traded in total and 17.0K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Yes96%
-1 pts37.7K30.6K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Sep 25

■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Patient Zero by Taylor Swift is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?

As of September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 96% (96¢ per contract), with 37.7K contracts traded in total and 17.0K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 market close?

The listed close date is October 5, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-patient-zero-by-taylor-swift-debut-1-on-the-billboard-hot-100/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillpatientzerobytaylorswiftdebut1onthebillboardhot100, title = {Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 15:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-patient-zero-by-taylor-swift-debut-1-on-the-billboard-hot-100/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-patient-zero-by-taylor-swift-debut-1-on-the-billboard-hot-100/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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