What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXTRUMPMENTION-26OCT03
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Data Center at 100%, followed by AI / Artificial Intelligence at 100%, Transgender at 100%. 1.2M contracts have traded, 978.7K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Data Center ■ AI / Artificial Intelligence ■ Transgender · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump says Transgender as part of Midterm Rally in Vandalia, Ohio originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Vandalia, Ohio originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Vandalia, Ohio originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence …”
What are the Kalshi odds for What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Data Center at 100%, followed by AI / Artificial Intelligence at 100%, Transgender at 100%. 1.2M contracts have traded, 978.7K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio market close?
The listed close date is October 17, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
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What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-ohio/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwilltrumpsayduringhismidtermrallyinohio, title = {What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-ohio/}}
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