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US SPR level for the week ending October 2, 2026: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXSPRLVL-26OCT07
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 279M at 100%, followed by Above 280M at 99%, Above 278M at 99%. 24.2K contracts have traded, 19.9K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Above 279M | 100% | · | 3.2K | 2.4K |
| Above 280M | 99% | · | 2.4K | 2.4K |
| Above 278M | 99% | +3 pts | 1.3K | 1.3K |
| Above 281M | 98% | · | 101 | 101 |
| Above 282M | 98% | · | 571 | 571 |
| Above 283M | 60% | · | 1 | 1 |
| Above 284M | 2.5% | · | 128 | 94 |
| Above 286M | 1.0% | · | 5.6K | 5.6K |
| Above 285M | 1.0% | · | 4.0K | 4.0K |
| Above 287M | 1.0% | · | 2.6K | 2.6K |
| Above 288M | 1.0% | · | 2.1K | 2.1K |
| Above 289M | 1.0% | · | 2.1K | 2.1K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 2, 2026 is above 278 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on Wednesday morning following the stated week-ending date, using the value on Table 1 of the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet, row “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)”, under the Current Week column.”
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for US SPR level for the week ending October 2, 2026?
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 279M at 100%, followed by Above 280M at 99%, Above 278M at 99%. 24.2K contracts have traded, 19.9K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the US SPR level for the week ending October 2, 2026 market close?
The listed close date is October 7, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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APA
US SPR level for the week ending October 2, 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 1). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/us-spr-level-for-the-week-ending-october-2-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsussprlevelfortheweekendingoctober22026, title = {US SPR level for the week ending October 2, 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-01 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/us-spr-level-for-the-week-ending-october-2-2026/}}HTML credit
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