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Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXSONGCHARTTSWIFT-26OCT10TAY

As of September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 30% (30¢ per contract), with 21.7K contracts traded in total and 16.6K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Yes30%
-42 pts21.7K16.1K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 24Sep 25

■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If exactly 4 unique songs credited to Taylor Swift appear in the top 4 songs on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of October 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Each unique song title counts only once regardless of weeks on chart or re-entries. Different versions with distinct titles (acoustic, remix) count separately. Songs from before issuance that re-enter during the contract period count toward the total. Collaborations where the artist shares equal billing or is featured count. Songs count only if the artist is credited as primary or featured performer, not as producer/songwriter. Only positions within the chart's standard range qualify (e.g., 1-100 for Hot 100, not "bubbling under"). This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to Billboard, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this …”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100?

As of September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 30% (30¢ per contract), with 21.7K contracts traded in total and 16.6K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100 market close?

The listed close date is October 10, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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APA

Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/taylor-swift-top-4-spots-on-the-billboard-hot-100/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstaylorswifttop4spotsonthebillboardhot100, title = {Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 15:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/taylor-swift-top-4-spots-on-the-billboard-hot-100/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/taylor-swift-top-4-spots-on-the-billboard-hot-100/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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