Snapshot September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26
As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Kyle Larson at 38%, followed by Denny Hamlin at 26%, Christopher Bell at 12%. 5.0M contracts have traded, 56.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 38% | +16 pts | 377.1K | 189.0K |
| Denny Hamlin | 26% | -4 pts | 612.4K | 286.3K |
| Christopher Bell | 12% | -1 pts | 298.8K | 193.3K |
| Ryan Blaney | 7.0% | -1 pts | 375.9K | 225.7K |
| Joey Logano | 6.0% | -6 pts | 349.1K | 204.5K |
| Ty Gibbs | 3.0% | -2 pts | 250.0K | 162.7K |
| Chase Briscoe | 2.5% | · | 252.4K | 169.0K |
| Tyler Reddick | 1.5% | · | 516.8K | 250.9K |
| Carson Hocevar | 1.5% | -1 pts | 297.6K | 154.9K |
| William Byron | 1.5% | · | 251.4K | 149.6K |
| Chase Elliott | 1.0% | · | 299.0K | 170.4K |
| Bubba Wallace | 1.0% | · | 230.4K | 136.6K |
| Chris Buescher | 1.0% | · | 121.7K | 94.3K |
| Ross Chastain | 1.0% | · | 101.8K | 79.5K |
| Brad Keselowski | 1.0% | · | 87.7K | 75.7K |
| Austin Dillon | 1.0% | · | 61.7K | 61.7K |
| Cole Custer | 1.0% | · | 61.3K | 61.0K |
| Ryan Preece | 1.0% | · | 56.3K | 56.1K |
| Alex Bowman | 1.0% | · | 53.2K | 52.7K |
| Austin Cindric | 1.0% | · | 52.7K | 52.2K |
15 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Kyle Larson ■ Denny Hamlin ■ Christopher Bell · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Kyle Larson wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Kyle Larson at 38%, followed by Denny Hamlin at 26%, Christopher Bell at 12%. 5.0M contracts have traded, 56.8K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 15, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 27). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/nascar-cup-series-champion/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsnascarcupserieschampion, title = {NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-27 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/nascar-cup-series-champion/}}HTML credit
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