Kalshi odds today › Entertainment
Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 08:55 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXVMA-BDA26
As of September 25, 2026 at 08:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Madonna at 63%, followed by PinkPantheress at 32%, Lady Gaga & Doechii at 2.5%. 87.2K contracts have traded, 20.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madonna | 63% | +22 pts | 19.1K | 14.0K |
| PinkPantheress | 32% | -4 pts | 17.8K | 13.0K |
| Lady Gaga & Doechii | 2.5% | -7 pts | 6.8K | 5.3K |
| Harry Styles | 2.5% | -8 pts | 5.1K | 4.4K |
| Slayyyter | 2.0% | -2 pts | 5.3K | 4.8K |
| Tate McRae | 1.5% | -2 pts | 9.1K | 4.2K |
| Bebe Rexha & Faithless | 1.5% | -2 pts | 4.8K | 4.2K |
| Tie | 1.0% | · | 19.3K | 10.1K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Madonna ■ PinkPantheress ■ Lady Gaga & Doechii · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Bebe Rexha & Faithless wins Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the MTV Video Music Awards. Any references to the MTV Video Music Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between MTV Video Music Awards and Kalshi.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 25, 2026 at 08:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Madonna at 63%, followed by PinkPantheress at 32%, Lady Gaga & Doechii at 2.5%. 87.2K contracts have traded, 20.7K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is September 27, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/mtv-video-music-awards-best-dance/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/mtv-video-music-awards-best-dance/">MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/mtv-video-music-awards-best-dance.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 08:55 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/mtv-video-music-awards-best-dance/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsmtvvideomusicawardsbestdance, title = {MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 08:55 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/mtv-video-music-awards-best-dance/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/mtv-video-music-awards-best-dance/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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