MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXPERFORMVMA-26
As of September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Charli xcx at 98%, followed by Troye Sivan at 97%, Bruno Mars at 85%. 113.5K contracts have traded, 24.6K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Charli xcx ■ Bruno Mars · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Taylor Swift performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) the MTV Video Music Awards 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes. Additional clarification(s): Taylor Swift appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND Taylor Swift actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or Taylor Swift's official representatives. Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of Taylor Swift’s anticipated performance at MTV Video Music Awards 2026. If an announced Taylor Swift later withdraws from MTV Video Music Awards 2026, this will not …”
What are the Kalshi odds for MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform?
As of September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Charli xcx at 98%, followed by Troye Sivan at 97%, Bruno Mars at 85%. 113.5K contracts have traded, 24.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform market close?
The listed close date is December 31, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/mtv-video-music-awards-2026-who-will-perform/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsmtvvideomusicawards2026whowillperform, title = {MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/mtv-video-music-awards-2026-who-will-perform/}}
