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Diesel prices this week: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXDIESELW-26OCT05
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $6.26 at 84%, followed by Above $6.28 at 78%, Above $6.30 at 72%. 68.5K contracts have traded, 27.4K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Above $6.26 | 84% | +2 pts | 1.9K | 618 |
| Above $6.28 | 78% | +3 pts | 3.0K | 1.1K |
| Above $6.30 | 72% | · | 5.7K | 2.2K |
| Above $6.32 | 70% | -3 pts | 4.9K | 1.1K |
| Above $6.34 | 61% | -2 pts | 4.2K | 758 |
| Above $6.36 | 46% | -2 pts | 4.6K | 516 |
| Above $6.38 | 38% | -3 pts | 3.8K | 2.2K |
| Above $6.40 | 32% | -5 pts | 5.2K | 1.2K |
| Above $6.42 | 25% | -4 pts | 2.5K | 844 |
| Above $6.44 | 19% | -22 pts | 4.8K | 1.0K |
| Above $6.46 | 15% | -13 pts | 2.7K | 1.2K |
| Above $6.48 | 11% | -9 pts | 2.1K | 1.3K |
| Above $6.50 | 8.0% | -16 pts | 1.8K | 328 |
| Above $6.52 | 6.0% | -5 pts | 2.7K | 1.7K |
| Above $6.54 | 4.0% | -3 pts | 2.7K | 2.0K |
| Above $6.58 | 3.5% | · | 696 | 696 |
| Above $6.56 | 3.0% | -2 pts | 2.5K | 1.2K |
| Above $6.60 | 2.0% | -4 pts | 2.7K | 2.3K |
| Above $6.62 | 2.0% | -4 pts | 1.0K | 1.0K |
| Above $6.66 | 1.0% | -4 pts | 4.5K | 4.5K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Diesel Price on October 5, 2026 is above $6.26, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
Related Economics markets
Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Diesel prices this week?
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $6.26 at 84%, followed by Above $6.28 at 78%, Above $6.30 at 72%. 68.5K contracts have traded, 27.4K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Diesel prices this week market close?
The listed close date is October 5, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Diesel prices this week: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-prices-this-week-kxdieselw-26oct05/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsdieselpricesthisweekkxdieselw26oct05, title = {Diesel prices this week: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-prices-this-week-kxdieselw-26oct05/}}HTML credit
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