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Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Kalshi Odds
Settled or closed · Category: Companies · Event KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30
This event has no open markets at the last update (October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists Paramount as settled Yes.
Result
- Netflix: settled No
- Paramount: settled Yes
- None before July 2027: settled No
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest ( 50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived. Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify. Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria. If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
This event has no open markets at the last update (October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists Paramount as settled Yes.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers market close?
The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-successfully-take-over-warner-brothers/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillsuccessfullytakeoverwarnerbrothers, title = {Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-successfully-take-over-warner-brothers/}}HTML credit
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