Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Companies · Event KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Paramount at 98%, followed by None before July 2027 at 2.0%, Netflix at 1.0%. 4.4M contracts have traded, 9.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paramount | 98% | · | 1.9M | 476.6K |
| None before July 2027 | 2.0% | · | 953.8K | 288.0K |
| Netflix | 1.0% | · | 1.6M | 452.1K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Paramount ■ None before July 2027 ■ Netflix · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest (>50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived. Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify. Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria. If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Paramount at 98%, followed by None before July 2027 at 2.0%, Netflix at 1.0%. 4.4M contracts have traded, 9.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is July 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-successfully-take-over-warner-brothers/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-successfully-take-over-warner-brothers/">Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/who-will-successfully-take-over-warner-brothers.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).