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SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 15, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Commodities · Event KXAPTROT-26DEC1708
As of October 15, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $1,000/MTU at 96%, followed by Above $1,500/MTU at 94%, Above $1,750/MTU at 92%. 250.5K contracts have traded, 250.5K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Above $1,000/MTU | 96% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Above $1,500/MTU | 94% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Above $1,750/MTU | 92% | · | 83.5K | 83.5K |
| Above $2,000/MTU | 88% | · | 83.5K | 83.5K |
| Above $2,250/MTU | 79% | · | 83.5K | 83.5K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Dec 17, 2026 is above $1,000/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves using the Avg. value published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) for CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) for the assessment dated Dec 17, 2026. The selected assessment is CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT, code SMM-WU-APT-003, available at https://www.metal.com/tungsten/202511260001. Use SMM's published Avg. in USD per MTU exactly as reported, with no conversion or independent averaging. The separate High and Low observations and the historical table's multi-date Average summary row do not govern. This assessment has weekly observations; do not assume a new price is published every day. If no assessment is published for the specified date, apply the COMMODITIES …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026?
As of October 15, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $1,000/MTU at 96%, followed by Above $1,500/MTU at 94%, Above $1,750/MTU at 92%. 250.5K contracts have traded, 250.5K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026 market close?
The listed close date is December 17, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 15). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 15, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/smm-cif-rotterdam-apt-price-on-december-17-2026/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketssmmcifrotterdamaptpriceondecember172026, title = {SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-15 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/smm-cif-rotterdam-apt-price-on-december-17-2026/}}HTML credit
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