Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNFLDRAFTPICK-27-1
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Arch Manning at 29%, followed by CJ Carr at 14%, Jeremiah Smith at 11%. 363.9K contracts have traded, 3.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning | 29% | -2 pts | 93.3K | 63.3K |
| CJ Carr | 14% | · | 24.6K | 20.4K |
| Jeremiah Smith | 11% | +3 pts | 41.4K | 30.2K |
| Dante Moore | 11% | -1 pts | 32.9K | 19.9K |
| Darian Mensah | 11% | · | 29.7K | 22.8K |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 11% | -4 pts | 24.3K | 20.2K |
| Drew Mestemaker | 4.5% | · | 25.8K | 17.5K |
| LaNorris Sellers | 3.5% | · | 12.7K | 11.0K |
| Dylan Stewart | 2.5% | +1 pts | 10.3K | 8.0K |
| Sam Leavitt | 2.5% | · | 10.0K | 8.5K |
| DJ Lagway | 2.0% | · | 2.9K | 2.8K |
| Lincoln Kienholz | 2.0% | · | 702 | 702 |
| Julian Sayin | 1.5% | · | 18.2K | 13.5K |
| Jayden Maiava | 1.5% | · | 9.7K | 8.4K |
| John Mateer | 1.5% | · | 7.6K | 6.3K |
| Nico Iamaleava | 1.0% | · | 7.4K | 6.7K |
| Cam Coleman | 1.0% | · | 3.3K | 3.1K |
| Ryan Williams | 1.0% | · | 2.9K | 1.7K |
| Quincy Rhodes Jr. | 1.0% | · | 2.5K | 1.3K |
| Leonard Moore | 1.0% | · | 1.9K | 1.2K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Arch Manning ■ CJ Carr ■ Jeremiah Smith · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Arch Manning is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Arch Manning at 29%, followed by CJ Carr at 14%, Jeremiah Smith at 11%. 363.9K contracts have traded, 3.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is May 22, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/pro-football-1-overall-pick-in-2027/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027 Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-football-1-overall-pick-in-2027/">Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/pro-football-1-overall-pick-in-2027.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).