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Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNFLDRAFTPICK-27-1

As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Jeremiah Smith at 34%, followed by Arch Manning at 16%, CJ Carr at 16%. 419.8K contracts have traded, 4.4K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Jeremiah Smith34%
+11 pts50.5K36.2K
Arch Manning16%
·113.8K76.6K
CJ Carr16%
-1 pts29.4K24.4K
Darian Mensah11%
-3 pts31.3K23.9K
Drew Mestemaker9.5%
-6 pts29.6K20.7K
Trinidad Chambliss7.5%
-1 pts32.9K25.0K
Dante Moore5.0%
-1 pts36.8K21.9K
Sam Leavitt2.5%
·10.0K8.4K
Nico Iamaleava2.0%
·7.5K6.7K
DJ Lagway2.0%
·2.9K2.8K
Lincoln Kienholz2.0%
·702702
Julian Sayin1.5%
·19.0K14.1K
LaNorris Sellers1.5%
·13.3K11.5K
Jayden Maiava1.5%
·11.1K8.7K
John Mateer1.5%
·7.7K6.2K
Dylan Stewart1.0%
·11.0K7.4K
Cam Coleman1.0%
·3.3K3.1K
Ryan Williams1.0%
·2.9K1.7K
Quincy Rhodes Jr.1.0%
·2.5K1.3K
Leonard Moore1.0%
·1.9K1.2K

1 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 6Oct 5

■ Jeremiah Smith ■ Arch Manning ■ CJ Carr · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Arch Manning is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Sports markets

More on this topic: NFL odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027?

As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Jeremiah Smith at 34%, followed by Arch Manning at 16%, CJ Carr at 16%. 419.8K contracts have traded, 4.4K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027 market close?

The listed close date is May 22, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

Use this data

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Free JSON

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APA

Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-football-1-overall-pick-in-2027/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsprofootball1overallpickin2027, title = {Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-football-1-overall-pick-in-2027/}}

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