Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Crypto · Event KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26SEP30
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Below $75,000.00 at 9.0%, followed by Below $72,500.00 at 3.5%, Below $67,500.00 at 2.5%. 1.0M contracts have traded, 24.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below $75,000.00 | 9.0% | +1 pts | 146.3K | 44.9K |
| Below $72,500.00 | 3.5% | · | 133.2K | 41.3K |
| Below $67,500.00 | 2.5% | +1 pts | 66.3K | 26.4K |
| Below $70,000.00 | 2.0% | -2 pts | 149.7K | 64.4K |
| Below $60,000.00 | 2.0% | +1 pts | 85.0K | 55.9K |
| Below $45,000.00 | 2.0% | · | 3.8K | 2.5K |
| Below $65,000.00 | 1.5% | -1 pts | 164.7K | 47.9K |
| Below $62,500.00 | 1.5% | +1 pts | 66.9K | 34.0K |
| Below $57,500.00 | 1.0% | · | 79.8K | 60.2K |
| Below $55,000.00 | 1.0% | · | 56.8K | 39.8K |
| Below $52,500.00 | 1.0% | · | 41.0K | 30.2K |
| Below $50,000.00 | 1.0% | · | 26.4K | 19.0K |
| Below $47,500.00 | 1.0% | · | 1.9K | 1.9K |
| Below $35,000.00 | 1.0% | · | 500 | 500 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Below $75,000.00 ■ Below $72,500.00 ■ Below $67,500.00 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $32500.00, then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Below $75,000.00 at 9.0%, followed by Below $72,500.00 at 3.5%, Below $67,500.00 at 2.5%. 1.0M contracts have traded, 24.7K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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How low will BTC get in September? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-september/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowlowwillbtcgetinseptember, title = {How low will BTC get in September? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-september/}}HTML credit
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