Kalshi odds today › Crypto
How low will BTC get in October? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Crypto · Event KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26OCT31
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Below $80,000.00 at 57%, followed by Below $77,500.00 at 36%, Below $75,000.00 at 24%. 54.5K contracts have traded, 54.5K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Below $80,000.00 | 57% | · | 1.3K | 1.3K |
| Below $77,500.00 | 36% | · | 1.2K | 1.2K |
| Below $75,000.00 | 24% | · | 6.0K | 5.6K |
| Below $72,500.00 | 16% | · | 3.4K | 3.0K |
| Below $70,000.00 | 8.5% | · | 413 | 413 |
| Below $67,500.00 | 6.5% | · | 3.7K | 3.7K |
| Below $62,500.00 | 4.5% | · | 34.2K | 30.4K |
| Below $65,000.00 | 3.5% | · | 4.2K | 4.2K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $80000.00, then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
Related Crypto markets
- BTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT? $80,000 or above 100%
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 85,000 to 89,999.99 13%
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000? Yes 7.5%
- Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027? Yes 2.5%
- How high will BTC get in October? Above $87,500.00 75%
- BTC price range on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT? $84,500 to 84,999.99 15%
More on this topic: Bitcoin and crypto odds on Kalshi · Bitcoin odds on Kalshi
Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for How low will BTC get in October?
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Below $80,000.00 at 57%, followed by Below $77,500.00 at 36%, Below $75,000.00 at 24%. 54.5K contracts have traded, 54.5K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the How low will BTC get in October market close?
The listed close date is November 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-october/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="How low will BTC get in October? Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-october/">How low will BTC get in October? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown): 
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-october/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-october/badge.svg" alt="How low will BTC get in October? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-october/)
Cite this page
APA
How low will BTC get in October? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 1). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-october/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowlowwillbtcgetinoctober, title = {How low will BTC get in October? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-01 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-october/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-btc-get-in-october/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.
Follow on Telegram
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.