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FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26

As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Javokhir Sindarov at 70%, followed by Gukesh Dommaraju at 29%, Hikaru Nakamura at 1.0%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 14.9K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Javokhir Sindarov70%
+1 pts283.6K136.3K
Gukesh Dommaraju29%
-3 pts243.8K129.5K
Hikaru Nakamura1.0%
·800.2K409.7K
Anish Giri1.0%
·248.0K136.1K
Fabiano Caruana1.0%
·229.8K161.7K
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa1.0%
·139.1K128.9K
Andrey Esipenko1.0%
·124.5K113.9K
Wei Yi1.0%
·53.2K44.6K
Matthias Bluebaum1.0%
·51.1K42.9K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 29Sep 27

■ Javokhir Sindarov ■ Gukesh Dommaraju ■ Hikaru Nakamura · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Gukesh Dommaraju wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner?

As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Javokhir Sindarov at 70%, followed by Gukesh Dommaraju at 29%, Hikaru Nakamura at 1.0%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 14.9K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner market close?

The listed close date is December 30, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 27). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsfideworldchesschampionship2026winner, title = {FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-27 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/}}

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