Snapshot September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26
As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Javokhir Sindarov at 70%, followed by Gukesh Dommaraju at 29%, Hikaru Nakamura at 1.0%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 14.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javokhir Sindarov | 70% | +1 pts | 283.6K | 136.3K |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 29% | -3 pts | 243.8K | 129.5K |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 1.0% | · | 800.2K | 409.7K |
| Anish Giri | 1.0% | · | 248.0K | 136.1K |
| Fabiano Caruana | 1.0% | · | 229.8K | 161.7K |
| Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | 1.0% | · | 139.1K | 128.9K |
| Andrey Esipenko | 1.0% | · | 124.5K | 113.9K |
| Wei Yi | 1.0% | · | 53.2K | 44.6K |
| Matthias Bluebaum | 1.0% | · | 51.1K | 42.9K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Javokhir Sindarov ■ Gukesh Dommaraju ■ Hikaru Nakamura · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Gukesh Dommaraju wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Javokhir Sindarov at 70%, followed by Gukesh Dommaraju at 29%, Hikaru Nakamura at 1.0%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 14.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 30, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/">FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown):
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/badge.svg" alt="FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner Kalshi odds" height="20"></a> [](https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/)
/api/v1/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 27). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsfideworldchesschampionship2026winner, title = {FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-27 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.