FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Javokhir Sindarov at 70%, followed by Gukesh Dommaraju at 30%, Hikaru Nakamura at 1.0%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 1.9K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Javokhir Sindarov ■ Gukesh Dommaraju ■ Hikaru Nakamura · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Gukesh Dommaraju wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
What are the Kalshi odds for FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner?
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Javokhir Sindarov at 70%, followed by Gukesh Dommaraju at 30%, Hikaru Nakamura at 1.0%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 1.9K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner market close?
The listed close date is December 30, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/">FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsfideworldchesschampionship2026winner, title = {FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/fide-world-chess-championship-2026-winner/}}
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