Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNFLCPOTY-27
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Patrick Mahomes at 62%, followed by Michael Penix Jr. at 8.5%, Kirk Cousins at 6.5%. 1.5M contracts have traded, 30.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 62% | -1 pts | 179.6K | 126.6K |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 8.5% | -1 pts | 88.4K | 76.3K |
| Kirk Cousins | 6.5% | -10 pts | 91.5K | 80.0K |
| Kyler Murray | 3.5% | -1 pts | 105.8K | 91.7K |
| Fred Warner | 2.5% | -1 pts | 99.4K | 83.9K |
| Daniel Jones | 2.5% | -2 pts | 98.2K | 73.0K |
| Deshaun Watson | 2.5% | -3 pts | 29.4K | 28.6K |
| Joe Burrow | 2.0% | +2 pts | 155.2K | 132.4K |
| Jonathon Brooks | 2.0% | · | 27.8K | 27.6K |
| Aaron Donald | 1.5% | +1 pts | 197.2K | 114.8K |
| Malik Nabers | 1.5% | -1 pts | 75.9K | 67.7K |
| Travis Hunter | 1.5% | -4 pts | 47.4K | 45.3K |
| Micah Parsons | 1.5% | +1 pts | 39.9K | 35.7K |
| George Kittle | 1.5% | -2 pts | 34.1K | 31.9K |
| Tank Dell | 1.0% | · | 88.7K | 78.6K |
| Tucker Kraft | 1.0% | · | 81.7K | 76.1K |
| Tie/Co-Winners | 1.0% | · | 50.7K | 50.7K |
| Geno Smith | 1.0% | · | 23.2K | 21.1K |
| Nick Bosa | 1.0% | · | 21.9K | 21.0K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Patrick Mahomes ■ Michael Penix Jr. ■ Kirk Cousins · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Patrick Mahomes wins the Pro Football AP Comeback Player of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Patrick Mahomes at 62%, followed by Michael Penix Jr. at 8.5%, Kirk Cousins at 6.5%. 1.5M contracts have traded, 30.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is February 21, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Comeback Player of the Year Winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/comeback-player-of-the-year-winner/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketscomebackplayeroftheyearwinner, title = {Comeback Player of the Year Winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/comeback-player-of-the-year-winner/}}HTML credit
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