Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26
As of September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Notre Dame at 84%, followed by Miami (FL) at 82%, Georgia at 79%. 2.1M contracts have traded, 21.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 84% | · | 27.7K | 18.2K |
| Miami (FL) | 82% | +2 pts | 23.0K | 17.4K |
| Georgia | 79% | +1 pts | 21.9K | 16.7K |
| Texas | 75% | -2 pts | 40.4K | 26.3K |
| Ohio St. | 72% | +1 pts | 28.6K | 22.6K |
| Indiana | 72% | -6 pts | 22.8K | 17.5K |
| Texas Tech | 54% | +1 pts | 33.5K | 23.2K |
| Ole Miss | 49% | +2 pts | 44.1K | 28.4K |
| LSU | 48% | +8 pts | 911.2K | 877.9K |
| Alabama | 43% | +4 pts | 49.2K | 25.4K |
| Oregon | 38% | +1 pts | 16.7K | 11.1K |
| Penn St. | 36% | -2 pts | 89.4K | 60.8K |
| Florida | 36% | +3 pts | 31.6K | 23.8K |
| Tennessee | 36% | -4 pts | 5.3K | 3.7K |
| BYU | 30% | · | 21.4K | 18.1K |
| Utah | 29% | -1 pts | 45.5K | 36.1K |
| USC | 26% | · | 72.0K | 54.2K |
| Louisville | 26% | +2 pts | 18.0K | 14.6K |
| Michigan | 20% | -1 pts | 67.4K | 46.5K |
| James Madison | 18% | -1 pts | 9.1K | 9.0K |
33 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Notre Dame ■ Miami (FL) ■ Georgia · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Ohio St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Notre Dame at 84%, followed by Miami (FL) at 82%, Georgia at 79%. 2.1M contracts have traded, 21.5K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 29, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/college-football-playoff-qualifiers/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketscollegefootballplayoffqualifiers, title = {College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 03:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/college-football-playoff-qualifiers/}}HTML credit
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