Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNCAAFCUSA-26
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Liberty at 46%, followed by Jacksonville St. at 18%, Florida International at 7.5%. 228.4K contracts have traded, 621 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 46% | +2 pts | 59.7K | 39.2K |
| Jacksonville St. | 18% | · | 30.0K | 28.2K |
| Florida International | 7.5% | +1 pts | 9.0K | 7.8K |
| Western Kentucky | 6.0% | · | 5.0K | 4.6K |
| Delaware | 4.5% | · | 49.5K | 43.8K |
| Sam Houston | 4.0% | · | 22.3K | 21.9K |
| New Mexico St. | 2.0% | -4 pts | 20.1K | 18.8K |
| Middle Tennessee | 2.0% | · | 6.2K | 6.2K |
| Missouri St. | 2.0% | -2 pts | 4.7K | 4.7K |
| Kennesaw St. | 1.0% | -5 pts | 21.9K | 14.9K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Liberty ■ Jacksonville St. ■ Florida International · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Delaware wins the 2026 College Football Conference USA Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Liberty at 46%, followed by Jacksonville St. at 18%, Florida International at 7.5%. 228.4K contracts have traded, 621 in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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College Football Conference USA Championship Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/college-football-conference-usa-championship-winner/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketscollegefootballconferenceusachampionshipwinner, title = {College Football Conference USA Championship Winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/college-football-conference-usa-championship-winner/}}HTML credit
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