Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXTRUMPMENTION-26SEP24
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Melania at 54%, followed by China (5+ times) at 42%, Peace at 36%. 480.0K contracts have traded, 419.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melania | 54% | +12 pts | 28.6K | 18.3K |
| China (5+ times) | 42% | -14 pts | 40.3K | 26.3K |
| Peace | 36% | -17 pts | 15.1K | 10.8K |
| Economy / Economic | 30% | -6 pts | 22.5K | 18.7K |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 26% | -12 pts | 44.0K | 34.0K |
| Great Hall | 22% | · | 3.7K | 3.1K |
| Deal | 20% | -25 pts | 17.5K | 14.6K |
| Billion / Trillion | 15% | -23 pts | 10.7K | 9.3K |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | 15% | -16 pts | 7.2K | 5.6K |
| Iran / Iranian | 14% | -11 pts | 20.9K | 18.0K |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 14% | -6 pts | 12.2K | 10.7K |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 9.5% | -12 pts | 10.3K | 8.9K |
| Nuclear | 8.5% | -13 pts | 9.4K | 6.9K |
| Fake News | 7.5% | -2 pts | 16.5K | 14.6K |
| Farm / Farmer / Farming | 7.5% | -16 pts | 11.5K | 11.3K |
| Tariff | 6.5% | -11 pts | 29.8K | 25.3K |
| Biden | 6.5% | -10 pts | 15.7K | 14.1K |
| Boeing | 6.5% | -9 pts | 11.0K | 10.2K |
| United Nations / NATO | 6.5% | -15 pts | 3.0K | 2.8K |
| Soybean | 6.0% | -3 pts | 18.0K | 15.7K |
8 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Melania ■ China (5+ times) ■ Peace · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump says Taiwan as part of remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Melania at 54%, followed by China (5+ times) at 42%, Peace at 36%. 480.0K contracts have traded, 419.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 8, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinping-s-state-arrival/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinping-s-state-arrival/">What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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APA
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinping-s-state-arrival/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwilltrumpsayduringhisremarksatxijinpingsstatearrival, title = {What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinping-s-state-arrival/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinping-s-state-arrival/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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