Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26SEP24
As of September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Melania at 66%, followed by Deal at 52%, China (5+ times) at 48%. 92.3K contracts have traded, 85.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melania | 66% | · | 1.3K | 961 |
| Deal | 52% | · | 4.5K | 3.7K |
| China (5+ times) | 48% | · | 2.8K | 2.5K |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | 40% | · | 1.2K | 1.2K |
| Economy / Economic | 39% | · | 1.6K | 1.5K |
| Farm / Farmer / Farming | 34% | · | 2.4K | 1.7K |
| Billion / Trillion | 29% | · | 2.1K | 1.7K |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 29% | · | 12.2K | 7.6K |
| Ballroom | 29% | · | 5.9K | 5.3K |
| Nuclear | 26% | · | 467 | 401 |
| First Term | 24% | · | 577 | 413 |
| Iran / Iranian | 22% | · | 3.8K | 3.3K |
| Hottest | 18% | · | 2.3K | 2.2K |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 18% | · | 1.3K | 846 |
| Soybean | 18% | · | 2.1K | 1.7K |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 18% | · | 714 | 706 |
| Tariff | 14% | · | 4.7K | 4.4K |
| Pharma / Pharmaceutical | 13% | · | 58 | 56 |
| Stock Market | 12% | · | 94 | 94 |
| Russia / Russian | 11% | · | 1.1K | 1.0K |
11 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump says Taiwan as part of evening remarks originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 in the East Room , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the evening remarks originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 in the East Room using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the evening remarks originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 in the East Room will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Melania at 66%, followed by Deal at 52%, China (5+ times) at 48%. 92.3K contracts have traded, 85.8K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 8, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-evening-remarks-with-xi-jinping/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="What will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-evening-remarks-with-xi-jinping/">What will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-evening-remarks-with-xi-jinping.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
What will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-evening-remarks-with-xi-jinping/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwilltrumpsayduringhiseveningremarkswithxijinping, title = {What will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 19:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-evening-remarks-with-xi-jinping/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-his-evening-remarks-with-xi-jinping/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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