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Freeway Insurance 500 Winner: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 13, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNASCARRACE-FREI26
As of October 13, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Ryan Blaney at 20%, followed by Christopher Bell at 18%, Denny Hamlin at 12%. 97.9K contracts have traded, 97.9K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 20% | · | 8.4K | 8.4K |
| Christopher Bell | 18% | · | 8.7K | 8.7K |
| Denny Hamlin | 12% | · | 14.0K | 14.0K |
| Joey Logano | 11% | -1 pts | 8.8K | 8.7K |
| Chase Briscoe | 9.5% | · | 12.6K | 12.6K |
| Kyle Larson | 9.5% | · | 2.9K | 2.9K |
| Ty Gibbs | 4.5% | -3 pts | 2.0K | 2.0K |
| Tyler Reddick | 4.5% | · | 340 | 340 |
| William Byron | 4.5% | -5 pts | 227 | 227 |
| Austin Cindric | 3.5% | -1 pts | 245 | 245 |
| Josh Berry | 2.5% | · | 16.6K | 16.0K |
| Chase Elliott | 2.5% | -3 pts | 799 | 799 |
| Bubba Wallace | 2.5% | -2 pts | 224 | 224 |
| Corey Heim | 1.5% | -2 pts | 12.5K | 12.5K |
| Ross Chastain | 1.5% | -1 pts | 5.0K | 5.0K |
| Carson Hocevar | 1.5% | -2 pts | 2.5K | 2.5K |
| Chris Buescher | 1.5% | -3 pts | 188 | 188 |
| Brad Keselowski | 1.0% | · | 767 | 767 |
| Ryan Preece | 1.0% | · | 748 | 748 |
| Daniel Suarez | 1.0% | · | 280 | 280 |
3 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Brad Keselowski finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at the 2026 Freeway Insurance 500, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Brad Keselowski retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Freeway Insurance 500 Winner?
As of October 13, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Ryan Blaney at 20%, followed by Christopher Bell at 18%, Denny Hamlin at 12%. 97.9K contracts have traded, 97.9K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Freeway Insurance 500 Winner market close?
The listed close date is October 26, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Freeway Insurance 500 Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 13). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 13, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/freeway-insurance-500-winner/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsfreewayinsurance500winner, title = {Freeway Insurance 500 Winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-13 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/freeway-insurance-500-winner/}}HTML credit
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