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BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Crypto · Event KXBTCD-26OCT0917
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is $74,000 or above at 99%, followed by $73,500 or above at 99%, $74,500 or above at 99%. 247.3K contracts have traded, 116.9K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| $74,000 or above | 99% | · | 168 | 168 |
| $73,500 or above | 99% | · | 17 | 17 |
| $74,500 or above | 99% | · | 1 | 1 |
| $75,000 or above | 98% | · | 105 | 105 |
| $75,500 or above | 98% | · | 1 | 1 |
| $77,500 or above | 98% | · | 1.1K | 1.0K |
| $77,000 or above | 98% | · | 11 | 11 |
| $76,000 or above | 98% | · | 1 | 1 |
| $76,500 or above | 98% | · | 1 | 1 |
| $78,000 or above | 98% | +2 pts | 2.7K | 2.5K |
| $78,500 or above | 97% | +2 pts | 1.2K | 1.2K |
| $79,500 or above | 96% | +1 pts | 3.2K | 2.6K |
| $79,000 or above | 96% | +1 pts | 2.0K | 2.0K |
| $80,000 or above | 94% | +1 pts | 10.6K | 7.3K |
| $80,500 or above | 94% | +1 pts | 5.6K | 2.8K |
| $81,000 or above | 92% | +2 pts | 7.5K | 5.2K |
| $81,500 or above | 90% | +3 pts | 3.7K | 2.3K |
| $82,000 or above | 86% | +2 pts | 6.2K | 5.3K |
| $82,500 or above | 82% | +3 pts | 4.9K | 3.2K |
| $83,000 or above | 78% | +7 pts | 12.9K | 11.7K |
22 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 73499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is $74,000 or above at 99%, followed by $73,500 or above at 99%, $74,500 or above at 99%. 247.3K contracts have traded, 116.9K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT market close?
The listed close date is October 9, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/btc-price-on-oct-9-2026-at-5pm-edt/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsbtcpriceonoct92026at5pmedt, title = {BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/btc-price-on-oct-9-2026-at-5pm-edt/}}HTML credit
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