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Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race Winner: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXF1RACE-BAH26
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 40%, followed by George Russell at 22%, Max Verstappen at 12%. 33.3K contracts have traded, 30.5K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 40% | · | 4.7K | 4.7K |
| George Russell | 22% | -1 pts | 1.8K | 1.8K |
| Max Verstappen | 12% | +1 pts | 16.7K | 16.7K |
| Lando Norris | 11% | -1 pts | 1.8K | 1.8K |
| Charles Leclerc | 5.5% | -5 pts | 2.6K | 2.6K |
| Lewis Hamilton | 5.5% | -3 pts | 1.2K | 1.2K |
| Oscar Piastri | 4.0% | +1 pts | 2.0K | 2.0K |
| Isack Hadjar | 2.5% | · | 2.4K | 2.4K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Oscar Piastri finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at the 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Important Information: F1 races will be paid out after the 'Final Race Classification' has been posted by FIA. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Oscar Piastri retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race Winner?
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 40%, followed by George Russell at 22%, Max Verstappen at 12%. 33.3K contracts have traded, 30.5K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race Winner market close?
The listed close date is October 11, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-winner/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsbahraingrandprixmainracewinner, title = {Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race Winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-winner/}}HTML credit
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