Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXF1TOP10-BAH26
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Fernando Alonso at 99%, followed by Lewis Hamilton at 99%, Isack Hadjar at 99%. 31.3K contracts have traded, 22.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Alonso | 99% | +21 pts | 2.8K | 2.0K |
| Lewis Hamilton | 99% | +5 pts | 985 | 715 |
| Isack Hadjar | 99% | +27 pts | 412 | 333 |
| Lando Norris | 99% | +7 pts | 395 | 344 |
| Oscar Piastri | 99% | +5 pts | 211 | 155 |
| Arvid Lindblad | 98% | +75 pts | 3.3K | 2.2K |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 98% | +11 pts | 1.1K | 878 |
| Max Verstappen | 98% | +4 pts | 811 | 788 |
| Charles Leclerc | 98% | +9 pts | 455 | 284 |
| Liam Lawson | 98% | +33 pts | 411 | 313 |
| Sergio Perez | 41% | +38 pts | 2.3K | 1.3K |
| Valtteri Bottas | 15% | +11 pts | 581 | 376 |
| Alexander Albon | 2.0% | · | 1.2K | 1.0K |
| George Russell | 2.0% | -91 pts | 1.1K | 1.0K |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 1.0% | -3 pts | 3.0K | 2.8K |
| Lance Stroll | 1.0% | -3 pts | 2.5K | 2.2K |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1.0% | -65 pts | 2.2K | 1.6K |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 1.0% | -10 pts | 1.9K | 1.5K |
| Franco Colapinto | 1.0% | -23 pts | 1.8K | 1.5K |
| Oliver Bearman | 1.0% | -15 pts | 1.7K | 1.4K |
2 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Fernando Alonso ■ Lewis Hamilton ■ Isack Hadjar · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Oscar Piastri finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at the 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Important Information: F1 races will be paid out after the 'Final Race Classification' has been posted by FIA. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Oscar Piastri retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
More on this topic: Formula 1 odds on Kalshi
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Fernando Alonso at 99%, followed by Lewis Hamilton at 99%, Isack Hadjar at 99%. 31.3K contracts have traded, 22.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 11, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-top-10-finishers/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-top-10-finishers/">Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-top-10-finishers/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsbahraingrandprixmainracetop10finishers, title = {Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-top-10-finishers/}}HTML credit
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