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Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXF1TOP10-BAH26

As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Fernando Alonso at 99%, followed by Lewis Hamilton at 99%, Isack Hadjar at 99%. 31.3K contracts have traded, 22.1K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Fernando Alonso99%
+21 pts2.8K2.0K
Lewis Hamilton99%
+5 pts985715
Isack Hadjar99%
+27 pts412333
Lando Norris99%
+7 pts395344
Oscar Piastri99%
+5 pts211155
Arvid Lindblad98%
+75 pts3.3K2.2K
Andrea Kimi Antonelli98%
+11 pts1.1K878
Max Verstappen98%
+4 pts811788
Charles Leclerc98%
+9 pts455284
Liam Lawson98%
+33 pts411313
Sergio Perez41%
+38 pts2.3K1.3K
Valtteri Bottas15%
+11 pts581376
Alexander Albon2.0%
·1.2K1.0K
George Russell2.0%
-91 pts1.1K1.0K
Carlos Sainz Jr.1.0%
-3 pts3.0K2.8K
Lance Stroll1.0%
-3 pts2.5K2.2K
Gabriel Bortoleto1.0%
-65 pts2.2K1.6K
Nico Hulkenberg1.0%
-10 pts1.9K1.5K
Franco Colapinto1.0%
-23 pts1.8K1.5K
Oliver Bearman1.0%
-15 pts1.7K1.4K

2 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29Oct 4

■ Fernando Alonso ■ Lewis Hamilton ■ Isack Hadjar · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Oscar Piastri finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at the 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Important Information: F1 races will be paid out after the 'Final Race Classification' has been posted by FIA. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Oscar Piastri retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially …”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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More on this topic: Formula 1 odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers?

As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Fernando Alonso at 99%, followed by Lewis Hamilton at 99%, Isack Hadjar at 99%. 31.3K contracts have traded, 22.1K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers market close?

The listed close date is October 11, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-top-10-finishers/">Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>

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APA

Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-top-10-finishers/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsbahraingrandprixmainracetop10finishers, title = {Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-top-10-finishers/}}

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