Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXF1RACEPODIUM-BAH26
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Lewis Hamilton at 98%, followed by Max Verstappen at 95%, Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 87%. 209.5K contracts have traded, 166.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Hamilton | 98% | +40 pts | 61.0K | 30.2K |
| Max Verstappen | 95% | +12 pts | 26.6K | 20.1K |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 87% | +17 pts | 20.5K | 15.7K |
| Fernando Alonso | 24% | · | 301 | 301 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 14% | · | 206 | 206 |
| Pierre Gasly | 11% | +10 pts | 1.9K | 1.8K |
| Isack Hadjar | 2.0% | -26 pts | 40.9K | 22.6K |
| George Russell | 1.0% | -21 pts | 20.6K | 12.9K |
| Lando Norris | 1.0% | -22 pts | 14.5K | 10.0K |
| Charles Leclerc | 1.0% | -43 pts | 12.1K | 8.9K |
| Oscar Piastri | 1.0% | -21 pts | 7.9K | 5.9K |
| Liam Lawson | 1.0% | · | 1.1K | 1.0K |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1.0% | · | 443 | 443 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 1.0% | -3 pts | 392 | 392 |
| Lance Stroll | 1.0% | · | 200 | 200 |
| Arvid Lindblad | 1.0% | · | 200 | 200 |
| Alexander Albon | 1.0% | · | 189 | 189 |
| Franco Colapinto | 1.0% | · | 187 | 187 |
| Oliver Bearman | 1.0% | · | 142 | 142 |
| Esteban Ocon | 1.0% | · | 94 | 94 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Lewis Hamilton ■ Max Verstappen ■ Andrea Kimi Antonelli · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Oscar Piastri finishes in the top 3 (podium finish) in the main race originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at the 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Important Information: F1 races will be paid out after the 'Final Race Classification' has been posted by FIA. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Oscar Piastri retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
More on this topic: Formula 1 odds on Kalshi
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Lewis Hamilton at 98%, followed by Max Verstappen at 95%, Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 87%. 209.5K contracts have traded, 166.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 11, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-podium-finishers/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-podium-finishers/">Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-podium-finishers/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsbahraingrandprixmainracepodiumfinishers, title = {Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-podium-finishers/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-podium-finishers/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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