Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXF1FASTLAP-BAH26
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Max Verstappen at 96%, followed by Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 21%, Franco Colapinto at 11%. 36.6K contracts have traded, 19.7K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Max Verstappen ■ Andrea Kimi Antonelli ■ Franco Colapinto · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Oscar Piastri records the fastest valid lap time in the main race originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at the 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Important Information: F1 races will be paid out after the 'Final Race Classification' has been posted by FIA. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Oscar Piastri does not start the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If two or more competitors tie for the fastest lap according to FIA, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied competitors, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started …”
What are the Kalshi odds for Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap?
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Max Verstappen at 96%, followed by Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 21%, Franco Colapinto at 11%. 36.6K contracts have traded, 19.7K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap market close?
The listed close date is October 11, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-fastest-lap/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsbahraingrandprixmainracefastestlap, title = {Bahrain Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/bahrain-grand-prix-main-race-fastest-lap/}}
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