Snapshot October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXATP-26SHANGH
As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is Carlos Alcaraz at 44%, followed by Alexander Zverev at 26%, Alex de Minaur at 13%. 73.9K contracts have traded, 20.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Carlos Alcaraz ■ Alexander Zverev · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Dalibor Svrcina wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is Carlos Alcaraz at 44%, followed by Alexander Zverev at 26%, Alex de Minaur at 13%. 73.9K contracts have traded, 20.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the ATP Shanghai Winner market close?
The listed close date is November 16, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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ATP Shanghai Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 12). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/atp-shanghai-winner/
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
