Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXBALLONDOR-26
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Harry Kane at 60%, followed by Lamine Yamal at 22%, Kylian Mbappe at 8.5%. 10.1M contracts have traded, 108.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 60% | +1 pts | 1.7M | 1.1M |
| Lamine Yamal | 22% | -1 pts | 1.2M | 672.7K |
| Kylian Mbappe | 8.5% | -3 pts | 1.6M | 853.9K |
| Lionel Messi | 6.5% | +1 pts | 1.6M | 864.1K |
| Rodri | 3.5% | · | 887.5K | 402.0K |
| Ousmane Dembele | 2.0% | · | 903.0K | 492.0K |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 1.0% | -1 pts | 444.6K | 374.4K |
| Erling Haaland | 1.0% | · | 417.4K | 351.2K |
| Jude Bellingham | 1.0% | · | 240.9K | 210.6K |
| Michael Olise | 1.0% | · | 209.8K | 147.7K |
| Declan Rice | 1.0% | · | 104.5K | 52.6K |
| Bruno Fernandes | 1.0% | · | 66.3K | 40.3K |
| Vinicius Junior | 1.0% | · | 64.2K | 34.9K |
| Vitinha | 1.0% | · | 63.2K | 33.3K |
| Luis Diaz | 1.0% | · | 43.9K | 24.3K |
| Nuno Mendes | 1.0% | · | 31.3K | 9.3K |
| Lautaro Martinez | 1.0% | · | 21.4K | 7.7K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Harry Kane ■ Lamine Yamal ■ Kylian Mbappe · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Kylian Mbappe wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Harry Kane at 60%, followed by Lamine Yamal at 22%, Kylian Mbappe at 8.5%. 10.1M contracts have traded, 108.8K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-win-the-ballon-d-or-in-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-win-the-ballon-d-or-in-2026/">Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-win-the-ballon-d-or-in-2026/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillwintheballondorin2026, title = {Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-win-the-ballon-d-or-in-2026/}}HTML credit
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