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What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXVLADTENEVMENTION-26SEP29

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Social at 100%, followed by Perp / Perpetual at 100%, Option / Options at 100%. 68.6K contracts have traded, 38.6K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Social100%
+21 pts16.2K15.7K
Perp / Perpetual100%
+22 pts6.6K6.2K
Option / Options100%
+31 pts4.0K1.8K
AI / Artificial Intelligence96%
+11 pts3.4K2.2K
Tokenized / Tokenization90%
·1.1K1.0K
Blockchain59%
+6 pts738561
NFL / Football50%
+5 pts1.4K726
Ventures Fund50%
+5 pts487365
SIG / Susquehanna50%
+30 pts282281
Credit Card45%
-16 pts13.4K7.1K
Active Trader / Active Trading38%
-47 pts17.9K15.1K
Crypto / Cryptocurrency28%
-54 pts286266
Bitcoin25%
-7 pts761663
Kalshi20%
+5 pts247239
Gold (3+ times)11%
-47 pts587551
SpaceX5.0%
-16 pts673608
Futures3.0%
-71 pts222186
Event does not qualify1.0%
·213213

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 8Sep 29

■ Social ■ Perp / Perpetual ■ Option / Options · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the HOOD Summit '26 Keynote using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the HOOD Summit '26 Keynote will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Vlad Tenev speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as …”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote?

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Social at 100%, followed by Perp / Perpetual at 100%, Option / Options at 100%. 68.6K contracts have traded, 38.6K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote market close?

The listed close date is October 14, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-vlad-tenev-say-during-his-hood-summit-26-keynote/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillvladtenevsayduringhishoodsummit26keynote, title = {What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-vlad-tenev-say-during-his-hood-summit-26-keynote/}}

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