Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXVLADTENEVMENTION-26SEP29
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Social at 100%, followed by Perp / Perpetual at 100%, Option / Options at 100%. 68.6K contracts have traded, 38.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social | 100% | +21 pts | 16.2K | 15.7K |
| Perp / Perpetual | 100% | +22 pts | 6.6K | 6.2K |
| Option / Options | 100% | +31 pts | 4.0K | 1.8K |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 96% | +11 pts | 3.4K | 2.2K |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | 90% | · | 1.1K | 1.0K |
| Blockchain | 59% | +6 pts | 738 | 561 |
| NFL / Football | 50% | +5 pts | 1.4K | 726 |
| Ventures Fund | 50% | +5 pts | 487 | 365 |
| SIG / Susquehanna | 50% | +30 pts | 282 | 281 |
| Credit Card | 45% | -16 pts | 13.4K | 7.1K |
| Active Trader / Active Trading | 38% | -47 pts | 17.9K | 15.1K |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 28% | -54 pts | 286 | 266 |
| Bitcoin | 25% | -7 pts | 761 | 663 |
| Kalshi | 20% | +5 pts | 247 | 239 |
| Gold (3+ times) | 11% | -47 pts | 587 | 551 |
| SpaceX | 5.0% | -16 pts | 673 | 608 |
| Futures | 3.0% | -71 pts | 222 | 186 |
| Event does not qualify | 1.0% | · | 213 | 213 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Social ■ Perp / Perpetual ■ Option / Options · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the HOOD Summit '26 Keynote using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the HOOD Summit '26 Keynote will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Vlad Tenev speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Social at 100%, followed by Perp / Perpetual at 100%, Option / Options at 100%. 68.6K contracts have traded, 38.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 14, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/what-will-vlad-tenev-say-during-his-hood-summit-26-keynote/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-vlad-tenev-say-during-his-hood-summit-26-keynote/">What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-vlad-tenev-say-during-his-hood-summit-26-keynote/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillvladtenevsayduringhishoodsummit26keynote, title = {What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-vlad-tenev-say-during-his-hood-summit-26-keynote/}}HTML credit
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