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What will Trump say this week? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT12
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Nobel at 100%, followed by Transgender at 100%, Golf / Golfer / Golfing at 100%. 21.4K contracts have traded, 21.4K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Nobel | 100% | · | 2.7K | 2.2K |
| Transgender | 100% | · | 2.6K | 2.6K |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | 100% | · | 1.6K | 1.5K |
| Dividend / Stimulus | 98% | · | 1.2K | 1.2K |
| Landslide | 97% | · | 589 | 560 |
| Save America Act | 96% | · | 426 | 426 |
| Voter ID | 96% | · | 367 | 330 |
| Socialist / Socialism | 96% | · | 344 | 344 |
| Canada / Canadian | 96% | · | 279 | 270 |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 94% | · | 779 | 650 |
| Sleepy Joe | 94% | · | 1.2K | 1.1K |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | 94% | · | 251 | 251 |
| Kamala | 90% | · | 279 | 247 |
| Blockade | 88% | · | 220 | 217 |
| Steel | 85% | · | 118 | 118 |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 79% | · | 29 | 27 |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | 76% | · | 115 | 84 |
| Melania | 70% | · | 581 | 468 |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | 68% | · | 88 | 88 |
| Cuba / Cuban | 65% | · | 51 | 33 |
19 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Kamala, or a plural or possessive form of Kamala, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 12, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for What will Trump say this week?
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Nobel at 100%, followed by Transgender at 100%, Golf / Golfer / Golfing at 100%. 21.4K contracts have traded, 21.4K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the What will Trump say this week market close?
The listed close date is October 12, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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What will Trump say this week? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-this-week-kxtrumpsay-26oct12/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwilltrumpsaythisweekkxtrumpsay26oct12, title = {What will Trump say this week? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-this-week-kxtrumpsay-26oct12/}}HTML credit
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