Snapshot September 30, 2026 at 15:25 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXTRUMPMENTION-26SEP30
As of September 30, 2026 at 15:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Venezuela / Venezuelan at 94%, followed by Cuba / Cuban at 92%, Communist / Communism at 86%. 74.7K contracts have traded, 73.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela / Venezuelan | 94% | · | 3.0K | 2.9K |
| Cuba / Cuban | 92% | · | 4.4K | 3.8K |
| Communist / Communism | 86% | · | 2.7K | 2.6K |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 86% | · | 2.2K | 2.1K |
| Rubio | 84% | · | 2.9K | 2.4K |
| Border | 84% | · | 1.5K | 1.4K |
| No Tax on Tips | 82% | · | 4.6K | 4.4K |
| Social Security | 76% | · | 4.0K | 3.6K |
| Small Business | 66% | · | 5.8K | 5.5K |
| American Dream | 58% | · | 3.9K | 3.7K |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 56% | · | 906 | 856 |
| Biden | 55% | · | 626 | 542 |
| Trump Account | 52% | · | 2.0K | 1.8K |
| Hottest | 52% | · | 913 | 775 |
| ICE | 24% | · | 7.2K | 6.5K |
| Inflation | 24% | · | 760 | 693 |
| Tariff | 24% | · | 270 | 248 |
| China / Chinese | 22% | · | 101 | 101 |
| Midterm | 20% | · | 1.4K | 1.2K |
| Landslide | 20% | · | 422 | 384 |
3 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump says No Tax on Tips as part of Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise …”
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As of September 30, 2026 at 15:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Venezuela / Venezuelan at 94%, followed by Cuba / Cuban at 92%, Communist / Communism at 86%. 74.7K contracts have traded, 73.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 14, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-hispanic-heritage-month-celebration/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="What will Trump say during Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-hispanic-heritage-month-celebration/">What will Trump say during Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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APA
What will Trump say during Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 30). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 30, 2026 at 15:25 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-hispanic-heritage-month-celebration/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwilltrumpsayduringhispanicheritagemonthcelebration, title = {What will Trump say during Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-30 15:25 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-trump-say-during-hispanic-heritage-month-celebration/}}HTML credit
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