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What will Micron say during their post earnings analyst call? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXEARNINGSMENTIONMU-26SEP30
As of September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is HBM4E at 100%, followed by Nvidia at 100%, Idaho at 100%. 76.3K contracts have traded, 70.6K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| HBM4E | 100% | +69 pts | 6.8K | 5.1K |
| Nvidia | 100% | +36 pts | 5.5K | 3.6K |
| Idaho | 100% | · | 4.6K | 3.6K |
| Agentic | 100% | +78 pts | 4.5K | 3.5K |
| China / Chinese | 100% | · | 2.3K | 1.5K |
| New York | 1.0% | -17 pts | 10.3K | 6.4K |
| Taiwan | 1.0% | -23 pts | 10.3K | 7.0K |
| Inventory | 1.0% | -57 pts | 8.7K | 6.0K |
| Portfolio | 1.0% | -91 pts | 4.9K | 3.2K |
| Hyperscaler | 1.0% | -55 pts | 3.7K | 2.8K |
| Data Center (3+ times) | 1.0% | -92 pts | 3.7K | 2.5K |
| Smartphone (3+ times) | 1.0% | -34 pts | 3.4K | 3.0K |
| Research Lab | 1.0% | -78 pts | 3.3K | 2.8K |
| Tariff | 1.0% | -16 pts | 1.7K | 1.3K |
| Inference | 1.0% | · | 1.4K | 814 |
| Anthropic | 1.0% | · | 1.1K | 1.1K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Portfolio is said by any Micron Technology, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Micron Technology, Inc. live post earnings analyst call, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Micron Technology, Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Micron Technology, Inc. post analyst earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for What will Micron say during their post earnings analyst call?
As of September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is HBM4E at 100%, followed by Nvidia at 100%, Idaho at 100%. 76.3K contracts have traded, 70.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the What will Micron say during their post earnings analyst call market close?
The listed close date is October 14, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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What will Micron say during their post earnings analyst call? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 30). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-micron-say-during-their-post-earnings-analyst-call/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillmicronsayduringtheirpostearningsanalystcall, title = {What will Micron say during their post earnings analyst call? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-30 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-micron-say-during-their-post-earnings-analyst-call/}}HTML credit
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