Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 03:49 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXCARNEYMENTION-26SEP24
As of September 25, 2026 at 03:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Event does not qualify at 100%, followed by Drone at 9.0%, Russia / Russian at 7.0%. 64.1K contracts have traded, 37.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 100% | +6 pts | 12.5K | 8.3K |
| Drone | 9.0% | -9 pts | 56 | 44 |
| Russia / Russian | 7.0% | +6 pts | 824 | 775 |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 7.0% | -23 pts | 419 | 388 |
| Nuclear | 7.0% | +6 pts | 405 | 392 |
| China / Chinese | 7.0% | -21 pts | 350 | 138 |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 7.0% | -14 pts | 308 | 273 |
| Hormuz | 7.0% | -18 pts | 212 | 212 |
| Tax | 7.0% | -27 pts | 106 | 96 |
| Tariff | 6.0% | -4 pts | 1.5K | 1.5K |
| Iran / Iranian | 6.0% | -13 pts | 1.5K | 470 |
| Lumber | 6.0% | -26 pts | 523 | 504 |
| Arctic | 6.0% | -7 pts | 389 | 96 |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 6.0% | -21 pts | 227 | 195 |
| NATO | 5.0% | +4 pts | 3.8K | 3.0K |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | 5.0% | -1 pts | 2.1K | 749 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | -5 pts | 28.2K | 26.3K |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | 1.0% | -7 pts | 6.2K | 4.2K |
| Trump | 1.0% | · | 4.5K | 4.4K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Event does not qualify ■ Drone ■ Russia / Russian · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: To be clear, this event will resolve based on Mark Carney’s official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026. Remarks at press conferences, interviews, side events, bilateral meetings, or separate statements will not count. Markets may close and resolve after the address concludes and the outcomes are verified. How this is resolved Video of the the United Nations General Assembly using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the United Nations General Assembly will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 25, 2026 at 03:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Event does not qualify at 100%, followed by Drone at 9.0%, Russia / Russian at 7.0%. 64.1K contracts have traded, 37.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 9, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/what-will-mark-carney-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-mark-carney-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly/">What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/what-will-mark-carney-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 03:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-mark-carney-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillmarkcarneysayduringtheunitednationsgeneralassembly, title = {What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 03:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-mark-carney-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-mark-carney-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.